Winter Wyvern

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

Price

$0.89

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

6571.09%

11 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

2 openings · below min

7 days

11 openings · below min

30 days

11 openings · below min

since tracking started

11 openings · below min

2347.0%14341.3%26335.5%

Small sample. 11 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	2	14857.87%±11476.8	—	sample
7d	11	6571.09%±4223.6	—	sample
30d	11	6571.09%±4223.6	—	sample
All	11	6571.09%±4223.6	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedMlekołak$0.89$184207.1x7h

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)weapon · AncientSokolucky csgofastx.com$0.89$162181.9x4d

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn)weapon · redMlekołak$0.89$80.1290.02x7h

MAC-10 | Stalker (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertThe Dr. Livesey$0.89$75.8285.19x6d

MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)weapon · classifiedR@id3rPL$0.89$63.9371.83x4d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn)weapon · redMlekołak$0.89$80.1290.02x7h

StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · ClassifiedMlekołak$0.89$184207.1x7h

MP7 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restrictedJuulio$0.89$17.3619.51x1d

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ffDoge$0.89$3.784.25x1d

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedErä csgofast.com$0.89$6.056.80x1d

MP7 | Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedxxxbestxxx$0.89$10.2211.48x4d

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedSokolucky csgofastx.com$0.89$5.896.62x4d

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)weapon · AncientSokolucky csgofastx.com$0.89$162181.9x4d

AK-47 | Cartel (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedSokolucky csgofastx.com$0.89$33.9238.11x4d

MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)weapon · classifiedR@id3rPL$0.89$63.9371.83x4d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $184 (207.1x)