Bear Trails

A case on CSGOFAST, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOFAST's own item price.

Price

$1.65

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

380.37%

5,187 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

583 openings · below min

7 days

381.44%±36.384,400 openings

30 days

380.37%±33.295,187 openings

since tracking started

380.37%±33.295,187 openings

283.5%388.3%493.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	583	388.22%±104.2	—	sample
7d	4,400	381.44%±36.4	—	sample
30d	5,187	380.37%±33.3	—	sample
All	5,187	380.37%±33.3	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGOFAST publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOFAST's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert kniferag$1.65$14889.95x1d

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeKhael Florence$1.65$14889.92x6h

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeTetra$1.65$14889.85x2d

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeArtyom Potapchik$1.65$14588.13x2d

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeWolfIovo$1.65$14487.49x23h

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeimiafv$1.65$14487.49x1d

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifestrahinjaposao42$1.65$13581.72x3d

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeNoahster$1.65$13581.72x4d

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knifeJvT$1.65$10965.78x5d

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knifezapad harlamov$1.65$10965.78x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedИльсур Хасанов$1.65$1.260.76x13m

Galil AR | Winter Forest (Minimal Wear)weapon · Industrial GradeMLDOGE$1.65$10765.02x15m

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedBucknastyMD$1.65$1.260.76x15m

PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)weapon · RestrictedMatheus Avilar$1.65$1.250.76x18m

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedHeadShot3408$1.65$1.260.76x27m

PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)weapon · RestrictedErä csgofast.com$1.65$1.250.76x30m

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restrictedokeanix1$1.65$1.260.76x30m

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedErä csgofast.com$1.65$1.260.76x32m

PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)weapon · Restrictedajo$1.65$1.250.76x32m

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restrictedsviper$1.65$1.260.76x35m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $148 (89.95x)