Price
$7.91
11.3 coins
Advertised RTP
90.93%
EV $7.19 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.08%
19.5K openings, odds method
Variance
8.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 22
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19.5K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$7.9111.3 coins$47.9668.51 coins6.06x
PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerReettaonläski$7.9111.3 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $7.91 | 90.93% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $8.09 | 90.87% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.10 | 90.89% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 10.0%consumer 90.0%best hit —