BIG GOR CASE

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$17.79
25.41 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
49.54%
219 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
153 openings · below min
7 days
219 openings · below min
30 days
219 openings · below min
since tracking started
219 openings · below min
24.5%61.7%99.0%

Small sample. 219 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h15364.76%±33.7—sample
7d21949.54%±24.2—sample
30d21949.54%±24.2—sample
All21949.54%±24.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

MP9 | Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$17.7925.41 coins$1,9882,840 coins111.8x

Latest dropsnewest first

MP9 | Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified$17.7925.41 coins$1,9882,840 coins111.8x
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Well-Worn)weapon · Common$17.7925.41 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Well-Worn)weapon · Common$17.7925.41 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Well-Worn)weapon · Common$17.7925.41 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Well-Worn)weapon · Common$17.7925.41 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Well-Worn)weapon · Common$17.7925.41 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,988 (111.8x)