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A case on CSGORoll, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$15.60
22.29 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
107.66%
320 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
118 openings · below min
7 days
314 openings · below min
30 days
320 openings · below min
since tracking started
320 openings · below min
-0.5%256.5%513.5%

Small sample. 320 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h118205.41%±307.7—sample
7d314109.69%±117.5—sample
30d320107.66%±115.3—sample
All320107.66%±115.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare$15.2421.77 coins$563804 coins36.93x

Latest dropsnewest first

Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)weapon · restricted$15.2421.77 coins$0.520.74 coins0.03x
Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)weapon · restricted$15.2421.77 coins$0.520.74 coins0.03x
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$15.2421.77 coins$0.170.25 coins0.01x
Sticker | shroud | Krakow 2017sticker · Rare$15.2421.77 coins$6.749.63 coins0.44x
Sticker | Flipsid3 Tactics | Cologne 2016sticker · Rare$15.2421.77 coins$8.4512.07 coins0.55x
Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)weapon · restricted$15.2421.77 coins$0.520.74 coins0.03x
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec$15.2421.77 coins$0.170.25 coins0.01x
Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)weapon · restricted$15.2421.77 coins$0.520.74 coins0.03x
Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)weapon · restricted$15.2421.77 coins$0.520.74 coins0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,773 (181.9x)