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bash2

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$9.16
13.09 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.97%
42 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
42 openings · below min
30 days
42 openings · below min
since tracking started
42 openings · below min
30.0%87.8%145.5%

Small sample. 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d4287.97%±57.1—sample
30d4287.97%±57.1—sample
All4287.97%±57.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$9.1513.07 coins$3.214.58 coins0.35x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$9.1513.07 coins$3.214.58 coins0.35x
MP9 | Green Plaid (Minimal Wear)weapon · ConsumerODD$9.1513.07 coins$4.616.59 coins0.50x
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$9.1513.07 coins$80.50115 coins8.80x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$9.1513.07 coins$3.214.58 coins0.35x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Kami (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FFODD$9.1513.07 coins$1.231.76 coins0.13x
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$9.1513.07 coins$1.502.14 coins0.16x
StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert$9.1513.07 coins$41.0358.61 coins4.49x
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Kami (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF$9.1513.07 coins$1.231.76 coins0.13x
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$9.1513.07 coins$1.502.14 coins0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —