5% Juicy

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.38
6.25 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
100.66%
643 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
70 openings · below min
7 days
570 openings · below min
30 days
643 openings · below min
since tracking started
643 openings · below min
-0.5%160.0%320.5%

Small sample. 643 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h70139.98%±180.0—sample
7d570106.50%±55.4—sample
30d643100.66%±49.5—sample
All643100.66%±49.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

P250 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$4.386.25 coins$281402 coins64.30x
P250 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$4.386.25 coins$281402 coins64.30x
P250 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$4.246.06 coins$260371 coins61.23x
P250 | Whiteout (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$4.246.06 coins$260371 coins61.23x

Latest dropsnewest first

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$4.246.06 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$4.246.06 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$4.246.06 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$4.246.06 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$4.246.06 coins$56.3980.56 coins13.29x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$4.246.06 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$4.246.06 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$4.246.06 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $407 (93.08x)