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26 a pop

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$31.19
44.56 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
111.83%
145 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
2 openings · below min
7 days
25 openings · below min
30 days
145 openings · below min
since tracking started
145 openings · below min
35.0%140.8%246.5%

Small sample. 145 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2140.55%±105.1—sample
7d2584.49%±26.1—sample
30d145111.83%±44.0—sample
All145111.83%±44.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · CovertLight$31.1944.56 coins$680972 coins21.81x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3$31.1944.56 coins$507725 coins16.27x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3$31.1944.56 coins$507725 coins16.27x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$31.7245.32 coins$27.5739.39 coins0.87x
Sticker | FaZe Clan (Holo) | Atlanta 2017sticker · #8847ffsar haozar$31.7245.32 coins$61.6088 coins1.94x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$31.1944.56 coins$27.5439.34 coins0.88x
FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)weapon · pink$31.1944.56 coins$32.6746.67 coins1.05x
FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkLight$31.1944.56 coins$32.6746.67 coins1.05x
Sticker | Ethan (Foil) | Katowice 2019sticker · remarkable$31.1944.56 coins$7.0010 coins0.22x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$31.1944.56 coins$27.5439.34 coins0.88x
Sticker | allu (Foil) | Cluj-Napoca 2015sticker · exoticLight$31.1944.56 coins$12.4917.84 coins0.40x
MP7 | Powercore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedLight$31.1944.56 coins$0.690.99 coins0.02x
MP7 | Powercore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$31.1944.56 coins$0.690.99 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $680 (21.81x)