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FADETIME

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.14
5.92 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.22%
66 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
66 openings · below min
30 days
66 openings · below min
since tracking started
66 openings · below min
21.5%98.3%175.0%

Small sample. 66 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d6698.22%±76.0—sample
30d6698.22%±76.0—sample
All6698.22%±76.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | Chinggis Warriors (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · Mythical$4.025.74 coins$0.100.15 coins0.03x
Sticker | Chinggis Warriors (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · Mythical$4.025.74 coins$0.100.15 coins0.03x
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$4.025.74 coins$6.018.59 coins1.50x
Sticker | Chinggis Warriors (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · Mythical$4.025.74 coins$0.100.15 coins0.03x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedDommemannen$4.025.74 coins$1.882.68 coins0.47x
StatTrak™ MP9 | Hypnotic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$4.025.74 coins$28.4540.64 coins7.09x
XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested)weapon · violet$4.025.74 coins$1.151.65 coins0.29x
Sticker | Chinggis Warriors (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · Mythical$4.025.74 coins$0.100.15 coins0.03x
Sticker | Chinggis Warriors (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · Mythical$4.025.74 coins$0.100.15 coins0.03x
Sticker | Chinggis Warriors (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · Mythical$4.025.74 coins$0.100.15 coins0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —