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Ligma Balls 1%

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$9.76
13.95 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
79.48%
1,254 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
133 openings · below min
7 days
908 openings · below min
30 days
79.48%±56.081,254 openings
since tracking started
79.48%±56.081,254 openings
-0.5%90.5%181.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h13340.01%±78.3—sample
7d908104.08%±76.7—sample
30d1,25479.48%±56.1—sample
All1,25479.48%±56.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$9.7613.95 coins$2,8184,025 coins288.6x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$9.6913.84 coins$1,1141,591 coins115.0x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$9.6913.84 coins$1,1141,591 coins115.0x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covertLigma Balls$9.7613.95 coins$638912 coins65.39x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert$9.6913.84 coins$610872 coins63.02x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert$9.6913.84 coins$598854 coins61.72x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert$9.6913.84 coins$598854 coins61.72x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$9.6913.84 coins$517738 coins53.34x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · EmeraldLigma Balls$9.7613.95 coins$517738 coins52.91x
★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert$9.6913.84 coins$515735 coins53.12x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9Ligma Balls$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9Ligma Balls$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9$9.6913.84 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,818 (288.6x)