5% Gloves

A case on CSGORoll (5%, gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$79.53

114 coins

Advertised RTP

90.91%

EV $72.30 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

86.13%

6,950 openings, odds method

Variance

69.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 152

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

95.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

580 openings · below min

7 days

83.90%±20.985,969 openings

30 days

86.13%±19.446,950 openings

since tracking started

86.13%±19.446,950 openings

23.5%91.8%160.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	580	91.77%±67.6	—	odds
7d	5,969	83.90%±21.0	−0.7σ	odds
30d	6,950	86.13%±19.4	−0.5σ	odds
All	6,950	86.13%±19.4	−0.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,950 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$10.7K 15,300 coins	48.9%	23	22.9	1.00×
★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$3,458 4,940 coins	15.8%	16	22.9	0.70×
★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$1,292 1,845 coins	5.9%	18	22.9	0.78×
★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$1,146 1,637 coins	5.2%	27	22.9	1.18×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$1,100 1,571 coins	5.0%	15	22.9	0.65×
★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$1,050 1,500 coins	4.8%	28	22.9	1.22×
★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 303	$1,033 1,475 coins	4.7%	26	22.9	1.13×
★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$676 966 coins	3.1%	28	22.9	1.22×
★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$455 650 coins	2.1%	12	22.9	0.52×
★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$310 443 coins	1.4%	22	22.9	0.96×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$228 326 coins	1.0%	27	22.9	1.18×
★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$174 249 coins	0.8%	24	22.9	1.05×
★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$134 191 coins	0.6%	24	22.9	1.05×
★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 263	$71.40 102 coins	0.4%	24	26.4	0.91×
★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$58.07 82.95 coins	0.3%	22	22.9	0.96×
P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	32.0%	$0.02 0.03 coins	0.0%	2,203	2224.0	0.99×
PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	31.0%	$0.01 0.02 coins	0.0%	2,185	2154.5	1.01×
MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	32.0%	<$0.01 0.01 coins	0.0%	2,226	2224.0	1.00×

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryKickerrrrrrrr$79.53114 coins$10.7K15,300 coins134.7x2h

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$79.53114 coins$10.7K15,300 coins134.7x2h

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$79.53114 coins$10.7K15,300 coins134.7x12h

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$79.53114 coins$10.7K15,300 coins134.7x1d

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$79.53114 coins$10.7K15,300 coins134.7x2d

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryArt$80.16115 coins$10.7K15,300 coins133.6x3d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$79.53114 coins$0.020.03 coins0.00x46m

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$79.53114 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x46m

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$79.53114 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x46m

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerJhon csgoroll.com$79.53114 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x46m

P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$79.53114 coins$0.020.03 coins0.00x46m

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$79.53114 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x48m

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$79.53114 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x48m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
9 Nov, 08:05 UTC	$79.53	90.91%	18
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC	$79.53	90.91%	18
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC	$79.54	90.91%	18
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC	$80.16	90.91%	18

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 4.7%legendary 0.3%consumer 95.0%best hit $10.7K (134.7x)