Budget 5%

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6.67
9.53 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
25.61%
12 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
12 openings · below min
30 days
12 openings · below min
since tracking started
12 openings · below min
22.0%25.5%29.0%

Small sample. 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1225.61%±2.86—sample
30d1225.61%±2.86—sample
All1225.61%±2.86—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Patch | Metal Master Guardianpatch · #8847FF$6.679.53 coins$2.022.89 coins0.30x
Patch | Metal Gold Novapatch · Mythical$6.679.53 coins$1.462.09 coins0.22x
Patch | Metal Master Guardianpatch · #8847FF$6.679.53 coins$2.022.89 coins0.30x
Patch | Metal Gold Novapatch · Mythical$6.679.53 coins$1.462.09 coins0.22x
Patch | Metal Legendary Eaglepatch · high$6.679.53 coins$1.422.03 coins0.21x
Patch | Metal Legendary Eaglepatch · highm a L L e$6.679.53 coins$1.422.03 coins0.21x
Patch | Metal Supreme Masterpatch · highm a L L e$6.679.53 coins$2.183.11 coins0.33x
Patch | Metal Legendary Eaglepatch · high$6.679.53 coins$1.422.03 coins0.21x
Patch | Metal Master Guardianpatch · #8847FF$6.679.53 coins$2.022.89 coins0.30x
Patch | Metal Legendary Eaglepatch · high$6.679.53 coins$1.422.03 coins0.21x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —