TaLoN 1%

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.33
6.18 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
117.71%
1,512 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
294 openings · below min
7 days
115.54%±51.351,464 openings
30 days
117.71%±50.991,512 openings
since tracking started
117.71%±50.991,512 openings
37.5%181.3%325.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h294181.18%±143.2—sample
7d1,464115.54%±51.4—sample
30d1,512117.71%±51.0—sample
All1,512117.71%±51.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$4.396.27 coins$389555 coins88.47x
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$4.396.27 coins$389555 coins88.47x
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$4.396.27 coins$389555 coins88.47x
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$4.396.27 coins$389555 coins88.47x
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$4.396.27 coins$389555 coins88.47x
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$4.396.27 coins$389555 coins88.47x
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$4.396.27 coins$389555 coins88.47x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | arT | Austin 2025sticker · common$4.396.27 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · common$4.396.27 coins$0.020.03 coins0.00x
Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · common$4.396.27 coins$0.020.03 coins0.00x
Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · common$4.396.27 coins$0.020.03 coins0.00x
Sticker | arT | Austin 2025sticker · common$4.396.27 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · commoniLL$4.396.27 coins$0.020.03 coins0.00x
Sticker | s1n (Foil) | Austin 2025sticker · common$4.396.27 coins$0.020.03 coins0.00x
Sticker | arT | Austin 2025sticker · common$4.396.27 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
Sticker | arT | Austin 2025sticker · common$4.396.27 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x
Sticker | arT | Austin 2025sticker · common$4.396.27 coins$0.030.05 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $389 (88.47x)