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Low risk High reward

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.47
17.81 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
87.69%
4 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
4 openings · below min
30 days
4 openings · below min
since tracking started
4 openings · below min
37.0%87.5%138.0%

Small sample. 4 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d487.69%±49.8—sample
30d487.69%±49.8—sample
All487.69%±49.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | rain (Holo, Champion) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Legendary$12.4717.82 coins$1.422.03 coins0.11x
MP7 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$12.4717.82 coins$14.0420.05 coins1.13x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$12.4717.82 coins$14.1520.21 coins1.13x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted✪ Bruce$12.4717.82 coins$14.1520.21 coins1.13x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedLazy_St0ner$12.4717.81 coins$14.1520.21 coins1.13x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedLazy_St0ner$12.4717.81 coins$14.1520.21 coins1.13x
StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedLazy_St0ner$12.4717.81 coins$14.6820.97 coins1.18x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedLazy_St0ner$12.4717.81 coins$14.1520.21 coins1.13x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedLazy_St0ner$12.4717.81 coins$14.1520.21 coins1.13x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —