HOLY GRAIL
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$527.19
753 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
49.62%
6 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$527753 coins$7551,079 coins1.43x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$527753 coins$134192 coins0.25x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3$527753 coins$7551,079 coins1.43x
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)weapon · covert · Phase 4$527753 coins$85.40122 coins0.16x
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)weapon · covert · Phase 4$527753 coins$85.40122 coins0.16x
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)weapon · covert · Phase 4Krash$527753 coins$85.40122 coins0.16x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4$527753 coins$424605 coins0.80x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $755 (1.43x)