1% Chubbed
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$15.23
21.75 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.39%
184 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 184 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · RestrictedMunyuns$14.9521.35 coins$512732 coins34.28x
Souvenir P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$15.2321.75 coins$512732 coins33.65x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,567 (104.9x)