Bangers and Mash
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$13.54
19.34 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $12.31 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.48%
1,982 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,982 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Music Kit | Laura Shigihara: Work Hard, Play Hardmusic kit · high$13.5419.34 coins$1.712.44 coins0.13x
StatTrak™ Music Kit | The Verkkars, EZ4ENCEmusic kit · highSuperbukeN$13.5419.34 coins$5.567.94 coins0.41x
Music Kit | Laura Shigihara: Work Hard, Play Hardmusic kit · highSuperbukeN$13.5419.34 coins$1.712.44 coins0.13x
Music Kit | Laura Shigihara: Work Hard, Play Hardmusic kit · high$13.5419.34 coins$1.712.44 coins0.13x
Music Kit | Laura Shigihara: Work Hard, Play Hardmusic kit · high$13.5419.34 coins$1.712.44 coins0.13x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $13.54 | 90.90% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $13.55 | 90.90% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $13.59 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $13.61 | 90.91% | 19 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.4%remarkable 0.0%epic 0.1%rare 0.3%classified 14.0%extraordinary 0.3%high 73.0%uncommon 10.0%best hit —