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Battle Freezer

A case on CSGORoll (60%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$181.09
259 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $164.62 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.83%
205 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
45.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
27 openings · below min
7 days
84.64%±13.50166 openings
30 days
84.83%±12.15205 openings
since tracking started
84.83%±12.15205 openings
59.0%92.8%126.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2792.78%±33.3—odds
7d16684.64%±13.5−0.9σodds
30d20584.83%±12.1−1.0σodds
All20584.83%±12.1−1.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 205 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 31 in 667$1,034 1,477 coins0.9%00.3—
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 400$874 1,248 coins1.3%10.5—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 20$605 864 coins18.4%1010.30.98×
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby1 in 200$393 561 coins1.2%01.00.00×
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 31 in 33$356 508 coins6.5%56.10.81×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert17.6%$282 403 coins30.2%3536.10.97×
★ Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 100$274 392 coins1.7%32.01.46×
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 67$225 321 coins2.0%33.10.98×
★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert16.0%$190 271 coins18.4%2632.80.79×
★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 25$188 268 coins4.6%148.21.71×
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 21 in 17$183 261 coins6.7%612.30.49×
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 20$174 249 coins5.3%1010.30.98×
Sticker | Great Wave (Foil)sticker · exotic20.0%$12.56 17.94 coins1.5%4741.01.15×
P2000 | Pathfinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial20.0%$11.05 15.78 coins1.3%4541.01.10×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$187267 coins$8741,248 coins4.68x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$187267 coins$629899 coins3.37x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$187267 coins$629899 coins3.37x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$187267 coins$629899 coins3.37x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$187267 coins$629899 coins3.37x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$187267 coins$629899 coins3.37x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$181259 coins$605864 coins3.34x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$181259 coins$605864 coins3.34x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$181259 coins$605864 coins3.34x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$181259 coins$605864 coins3.34x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P2000 | Pathfinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$181259 coins$11.0515.78 coins0.06x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$181259 coins$282403 coins1.56x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$181259 coins$282403 coins1.56x
Sticker | Great Wave (Foil)sticker · exotic$181259 coins$12.5617.94 coins0.07x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertElturados$181259 coins$282403 coins1.56x
Sticker | Great Wave (Foil)sticker · exotic$181259 coins$12.5617.94 coins0.07x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$181259 coins$605864 coins3.34x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$181259 coins$282403 coins1.56x
★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$181259 coins$190271 coins1.05x
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryMath_77$181259 coins$174249 coins0.96x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$18190.91%14
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$18190.91%14
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$18790.91%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 48.5%classified 5.0%extraordinary 6.5%exotic 20.0%industrial 20.0%best hit $874 (4.68x)