Bloodshot
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$9.09
12.98 coins
Advertised RTP
90.93%
EV $8.26 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.65%
5,688 openings, odds method
Variance
3.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,703 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedtautvas$9.0912.98 coins$21.2030.28 coins2.33x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $9.09 | 90.93% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $9.09 | 90.88% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $9.56 | 90.89% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $9.56 | 90.92% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $9.57 | 90.90% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $9.56 | 90.88% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.56 | 90.91% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 27.4%covert 2.6%restricted 55.0%Mythical 15.0%best hit —