Blue Blood
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$34.26
48.94 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $31.15 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.58%
782 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
35.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 782 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$34.2648.94 coins$28.2940.42 coins0.83x
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedDab$34.2648.94 coins$28.2940.42 coins0.83x
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$34.2648.94 coins$28.2940.42 coins0.83x
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classifiedDab$34.2648.94 coins$12.1817.4 coins0.36x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $34.26 | 90.91% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $34.17 | 90.91% | 12 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $34.15 | 90.91% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 20.5%industrial 9.5%classified 39.0%restricted 31.0%best hit —