Blue World
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.16
14.52 coins
Advertised RTP
90.89%
EV $9.24 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.12%
4,149 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,149 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerJohn Pork$10.1614.52 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $10.16 | 90.89% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $10.25 | 90.93% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.29 | 90.92% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmil spec 0.5%classified 19.0%covert 4.0%industrial 8.0%restricted 2.5%high 5.0%blue 5.0%consumer 56.0%best hit —