Camouflage

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$344.19
492 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
70.69%
621 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
4 openings · below min
7 days
601 openings · below min
30 days
621 openings · below min
since tracking started
621 openings · below min
1.5%44.3%87.0%

Small sample. 621 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h42.27%±0.26—sample
7d60170.94%±15.2—sample
30d62170.69%±15.0—sample
All62170.69%±15.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$344492 coins$6,9309,900 coins20.13x
AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$344492 coins$6,9309,900 coins20.13x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$345492 coins$2,6153,735 coins7.58x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$344492 coins$2,5943,705 coins7.54x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$344492 coins$2,5943,705 coins7.54x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$344492 coins$2,5943,705 coins7.54x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$344492 coins$2,5943,705 coins7.54x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$344492 coins$2,5943,705 coins7.54x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$344492 coins$2,5943,705 coins7.54x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$344492 coins$2,5943,705 coins7.54x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Miami Buttery (Holo)sticker · remarkable$345492 coins$7.3610.52 coins0.02x
Sticker | Miami Buttery (Holo)sticker · remarkable$345492 coins$7.3610.52 coins0.02x
Sticker | Miami Buttery (Holo)sticker · remarkable$345492 coins$7.3610.52 coins0.02x
Sticker | Toxic Flow (Holo)sticker · remarkableMopper$345492 coins$9.2113.16 coins0.03x
Sticker | Toxic Flow (Holo)sticker · remarkable$345492 coins$9.2113.16 coins0.03x
Sticker | Toxic Flow (Holo)sticker · remarkable$345492 coins$9.2113.16 coins0.03x
Sticker | Toxic Flow (Holo)sticker · remarkable$345492 coins$9.2113.16 coins0.03x
Sticker | Miami Buttery (Holo)sticker · remarkable$345492 coins$7.3610.52 coins0.02x
Sticker | Toxic Flow (Holo)sticker · remarkable$345492 coins$9.2113.16 coins0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $6,930 (20.13x)