Carry
A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$7.11
10.16 coins
Advertised RTP
90.89%
EV $6.46 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.74%
17.3K openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 18
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$7.1110.16 coins$86.10123 coins12.11x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $7.11 | 90.89% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $7.20 | 90.89% | 21 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.15 | 90.90% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 3.0%covert 4.4%mil spec 2.9%industrial 4.3%classified 5.4%consumer 80.0%best hit —