Champion Case
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$23.77
33.96 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $21.61 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.61%
3,929 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,939 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedDab$23.7733.96 coins$5.738.18 coins0.24x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $23.77 | 90.90% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $23.77 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $24.03 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $23.97 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 22:33 UTC | $23.97 | 90.90% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $23.97 | 90.92% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 28.0%restricted 39.0%classified 33.0%best hit —