Charming

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.68
2.4 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.70%
105K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
86.17%±8.2013.5K openings
7 days
91.08%±3.4388.9K openings
30 days
91.70%±3.17105K openings
since tracking started
91.70%±3.17105K openings
77.5%86.5%95.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h13.5K86.17%±8.20—sample
7d88.9K91.08%±3.43—sample
30d105K91.70%±3.17—sample
All105K91.70%±3.17—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Charm | Hot Howlcharm · Ancient$1.622.32 coins$17.3224.74 coins10.66x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.622.32 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumersi^b^rO$1.622.32 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.622.32 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Charm | Lil' Teacupcharm · #8847ff$1.622.32 coins$0.861.23 coins0.53x
Charm | Diner Dogcharm · #d32ce6$1.622.32 coins$1.261.8 coins0.78x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumersi^b^rO$1.622.32 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Charm | Lil' Avacharm · uncommon$1.622.32 coins$0.100.15 coins0.06x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$1.622.32 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Charm | Lil' Teacupcharm · #8847ff$1.622.32 coins$0.861.23 coins0.53x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $160 (98.71x)