Circuitboard
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$91.02
130 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $82.75 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.22%
117 openings, odds method
Variance
2.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 117 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$91.02130 coins$618883 coins6.79x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$94.39135 coins$618883 coins6.55x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$94.39135 coins$618883 coins6.55x
Latest dropsnewest first
Nova | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specJhon csgoroll.com$91.02130 coins$16.4723.53 coins0.18x
Souvenir AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · industrial$91.02130 coins$3.374.81 coins0.04x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert$91.02130 coins$197281 coins2.16x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$91.02130 coins$618883 coins6.79x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $91.02 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $91.02 | 90.91% | 11 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $94.39 | 90.91% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 41.8%extraordinary 0.6%classified 20.0%mil spec 25.6%industrial 12.0%best hit $618 (6.79x)