Comic Skins
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$82.27
118 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $74.79 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
104.71%
22 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
50.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 22 openings and 11.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | BOOM (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 100 | $344 492 coins | 4.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 16.7% | $194 277 coins | 43.2% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× |
| P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 32.3% | $80.50 115 coins | 34.8% | 9 | 7.1 | 1.27× |
| Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $72.80 104 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 12.0% | $43.77 62.53 coins | 7.0% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× |
| AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted | 28.0% | $1.76 2.51 coins | 0.7% | 7 | 6.2 | 1.14× |
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedI lost my MBA tuition fee$83.33119 coins$1.722.46 coins0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $82.27 | 90.91% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $83.08 | 90.91% | 6 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $83.33 | 90.91% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 1.0%restricted 44.7%covert 54.3%best hit —