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Cyborg

A case on CSGORoll (5%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$19.91
28.44 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $18.10 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.33%
9,680 openings, odds method
Variance
48.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 111
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
79.10%±37.171,341 openings
7 days
86.36%±14.868,346 openings
30 days
84.33%±13.799,680 openings
since tracking started
84.33%±13.799,680 openings
41.5%79.3%117.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,34179.10%±37.2−0.6σodds
7d8,34686.36%±14.9−0.6σodds
30d9,68084.33%±13.8−0.9σodds
All9,68084.33%±13.8−0.9σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,692 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary1 in 2,000$2,982 4,260 coins8.2%44.80.83×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary1 in 400$1,921 2,745 coins26.5%1924.20.78×
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,000$1,090 1,557 coins6.0%79.70.72×
★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 667$931 1,330 coins7.7%2114.51.44×
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 286$803 1,147 coins15.5%3733.91.09×
★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 200$350 500 coins9.7%3748.50.76×
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 167$202 289 coins6.7%4358.20.74×
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 100$82.60 118 coins4.6%9196.90.94×
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 100$77.70 111 coins4.3%10396.91.06×
★ Gut Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 100$55.92 79.89 coins3.1%11796.91.21×
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)weapon · mil spec30.0%$1.75 2.5 coins2.9%2,9192907.61.00×
UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New)weapon · industrial30.0%$1.65 2.35 coins2.7%2,8622907.60.98×
Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted35.0%$1.03 1.47 coins2.0%3,4323392.21.01×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary$19.9128.44 coins$2,9824,260 coins149.8x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendaryMOHAMMED$19.9128.44 coins$2,9824,260 coins149.8x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary$20.0628.66 coins$2,9794,255 coins148.5x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary$20.0628.66 coins$2,9794,255 coins148.5x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$19.9128.44 coins$1,9212,745 coins96.52x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$19.9128.44 coins$1,9212,745 coins96.52x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$19.9128.44 coins$1,9212,745 coins96.52x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendaryMrmccola2$19.9128.44 coins$1,9212,745 coins96.52x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$19.9128.44 coins$1,9212,745 coins96.52x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$19.8928.42 coins$1,9212,745 coins96.59x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)weapon · mil specJake$19.9128.44 coins$1.752.5 coins0.09x
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$19.9128.44 coins$1.752.5 coins0.09x
UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New)weapon · industrial$19.9128.44 coins$1.652.35 coins0.08x
Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$19.9128.44 coins$1.031.47 coins0.05x
Negev | Power Loader (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$19.9128.44 coins$1.031.47 coins0.05x
UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New)weapon · industrial$19.9128.44 coins$1.652.35 coins0.08x
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$19.9128.44 coins$1.752.5 coins0.09x
UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New)weapon · industrial$19.9128.44 coins$1.652.35 coins0.08x
UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New)weapon · industrial$19.9128.44 coins$1.652.35 coins0.08x
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)weapon · mil specJVKEE$19.9128.44 coins$1.752.5 coins0.09x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$19.9190.90%13
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$19.9890.90%13
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$20.0690.90%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.3%covert 3.7%extraordinary 1.0%mil spec 30.0%industrial 30.0%restricted 35.0%best hit $2,982 (149.8x)