Dizzy

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$80.30
115 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $73.00 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.50%
102 openings, odds method
Variance
4.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.1%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
42 openings · below min
7 days
78.50%±38.90102 openings
30 days
78.50%±38.90102 openings
since tracking started
78.50%±38.90102 openings
24.0%85.5%147.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4285.43%±60.7—odds
7d10278.50%±38.9−0.6σodds
30d10278.50%±38.9−0.6σodds
All10278.50%±38.9−0.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 102 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable1 in 50,000$21.8K 31,155 coins0.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband1 in 20,000$14.4K 20,545 coins1.0%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 10,000$4,025 5,750 coins0.6%00.0—
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 4,000$1,775 2,535 coins0.6%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 2,500$1,065 1,521 coins0.6%00.0—
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,000$630 900 coins0.9%00.1—
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 500$568 812 coins1.6%00.2—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 1,538$472 674 coins0.4%00.1—
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 31 in 400$356 508 coins1.2%10.3—
P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 400$328 469 coins1.1%00.3—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 40$205 293 coins7.0%02.60.00×
★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 80$190 271 coins3.2%21.31.57×
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 133$174 249 coins1.8%10.8—
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert25.0%$108 154 coins36.9%2025.50.78×
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 29$105 150 coins5.0%43.61.12×
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested)weapon · covert25.0%$77.00 110 coins26.4%3025.51.18×
M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 17$55.94 79.92 coins4.4%45.90.68×
★ Gut Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 25$53.04 75.77 coins2.9%14.10.25×
AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 22$24.95 35.64 coins1.5%74.61.53×
Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted1 in 57$16.93 24.18 coins0.4%11.80.56×
MP7 | Nemesis (Field-Tested)weapon · classified25.0%$5.28 7.55 coins1.8%3125.51.22×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

MP7 | Nemesis (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$80.30115 coins$5.287.55 coins0.07x
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$80.30115 coins$108154 coins1.34x
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$80.30115 coins$108154 coins1.34x
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$80.30115 coins$108154 coins1.34x
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$80.30115 coins$77.00110 coins0.96x
M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertBlair$80.30115 coins$55.9479.92 coins0.70x
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$80.30115 coins$105150 coins1.31x
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$80.30115 coins$77.00110 coins0.96x
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$80.30115 coins$108154 coins1.34x
AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)weapon · restricted$80.30115 coins$24.9535.64 coins0.31x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
10 Nov, 20:20 UTC$80.3090.91%21
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$80.2390.91%21
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$80.8590.91%21
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$81.7990.91%21
4 Nov, 22:33 UTC$81.7490.91%21
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$81.6990.91%21
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedremarkable 0.0%contraband 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%covert 68.3%legendary 0.2%restricted 6.5%classified 25.0%best hit —