Dolce Vita

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$20.92
29.88 coins
Advertised RTP
90.92%
EV $19.02 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.79%
1,718 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
79.97%±18.79106 openings
7 days
94.11%±5.621,196 openings
30 days
93.79%±4.691,718 openings
since tracking started
93.79%±4.691,718 openings
60.5%80.5%100.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10679.97%±18.8−1.1σodds
7d1,19694.11%±5.62+1.1σodds
30d1,71893.79%±4.69+1.2σodds
All1,71893.79%±4.69+1.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,718 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 21 in 16,667$172 246 coins0.1%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · epic1 in 11,111$163 233 coins0.1%00.2—
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 31 in 2,857$147 210 coins0.3%10.6—
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 1,538$144 205 coins0.5%11.10.90×
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 1,176$124 177 coins0.6%11.50.68×
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 87$108 154 coins6.5%1819.80.91×
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 74$84.00 120 coins6.0%2523.21.08×
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · rare1 in 28$60.86 86.95 coins11.4%6861.01.11×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 25$59.85 85.5 coins12.4%6967.91.02×
FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 25$45.42 64.89 coins9.6%7168.71.03×
Sticker | ESC Gaming | DreamHack 2014sticker · high1 in 18$32.64 46.63 coins9.6%11196.21.15×
Sticker | OpTic Gaming | Atlanta 2017sticker · high1 in 15$22.11 31.58 coins7.8%115115.11.00×
Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted1 in 13$15.04 21.49 coins6.2%136135.71.00×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 11$15.03 21.47 coins7.3%179158.91.13×
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 11$10.79 15.42 coins5.4%185163.21.13×
Sticker | pita | Cologne 2016sticker · high11.2%$10.75 15.36 coins6.3%173192.40.90×
Sticker | Ocean Sunset Flick (Holo)sticker · remarkable11.7%$5.55 7.93 coins3.4%177200.10.88×
Sticker | S0tF1k (Foil) | Katowice 2019sticker · remarkable12.0%$5.52 7.88 coins3.5%187206.20.91×
Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified12.0%$5.01 7.15 coins3.2%201206.20.97×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$20.9229.88 coins$10.7915.42 coins0.52x
Sticker | S0tF1k (Foil) | Katowice 2019sticker · remarkable$20.9229.88 coins$5.527.88 coins0.26x
Sticker | ESC Gaming | DreamHack 2014sticker · high$20.9229.88 coins$32.6446.63 coins1.56x
Sticker | pita | Cologne 2016sticker · high$20.9229.88 coins$10.7515.36 coins0.51x
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$20.9229.88 coins$10.7915.42 coins0.52x
Sticker | OpTic Gaming | Atlanta 2017sticker · high$20.9229.88 coins$22.1131.58 coins1.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.92%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$20.9290.92%19
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$21.2490.92%19
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$21.2090.92%19
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 5.2%epic 0.0%restricted 17.5%mil spec 1.4%rare 3.5%uncommon 4.0%high 23.5%classified 21.3%remarkable 23.6%best hit —