Price
$20.92
29.88 coins
Advertised RTP
90.92%
EV $19.02 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.79%
1,718 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,718 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$20.9229.88 coins$15.0321.47 coins0.72x
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedShiba inu$20.9229.88 coins$10.7915.42 coins0.52x
Sticker | S0tF1k (Foil) | Katowice 2019sticker · remarkableShiba inu$20.9229.88 coins$5.527.88 coins0.26x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$20.9229.88 coins$59.8585.5 coins2.86x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $20.92 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $21.24 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $21.20 | 90.92% | 19 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 5.2%epic 0.0%restricted 17.5%mil spec 1.4%rare 3.5%uncommon 4.0%high 23.5%classified 21.3%remarkable 23.6%best hit —