Eco Round
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$54.45
77.79 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $49.50 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.59%
327 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 327 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 2,000 | $465 664 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 13 | $295 421 coins | 47.6% | 28 | 26.2 | 1.07× |
| Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 200 | $167 239 coins | 1.7% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.22× |
| Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 13 | $124 177 coins | 20.0% | 25 | 26.2 | 0.96× |
| Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $52.95 75.64 coins | 10.7% | 28 | 32.7 | 0.86× |
| FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 15.0% | $29.03 41.47 coins | 8.8% | 55 | 49.0 | 1.12× |
| Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 13 | $13.04 18.63 coins | 2.1% | 33 | 26.2 | 1.26× |
| Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified | 33.5% | $11.06 15.8 coins | 7.5% | 103 | 109.4 | 0.94× |
| Galil AR | Shattered (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec | 17.0% | $3.26 4.66 coins | 1.1% | 53 | 55.6 | 0.95× |
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $54.45 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $54.45 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $54.70 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $53.91 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $53.91 | 90.90% | 9 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $53.92 | 90.90% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 8.1%covert 33.5%mil spec 25.0%classified 33.5%best hit —