Emerald Energy

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$761.94

1,088 coins

Advertised RTP

90.91%

EV $692.68 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d

91.27%

38 openings, odds method

Variance

2.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

15.5%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

74.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

32 openings · below min

30 days

38 openings · below min

since tracking started

38 openings · below min

37.5%93.5%149.5%

Small sample. 38 openings and 5.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	32	93.40%±55.4	—	odds
30d	38	91.27%±50.9	—	odds
All	38	91.27%±50.9	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 50	$6,269 8,955 coins	18.1%	1	0.8	—
AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 40	$5,023 7,175 coins	18.1%	0	1.0	—
AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 50	$2,069 2,955 coins	6.0%	1	0.8	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 11	$1,472 2,103 coins	19.1%	6	3.4	1.75×
★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 1	10.0%	$1,077 1,539 coins	15.6%	3	3.8	0.79×
P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified	10.0%	$493 704 coins	7.1%	8	3.8	2.11×
★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	10.0%	$398 569 coins	5.8%	3	3.8	0.79×
Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted	15.0%	$386 551 coins	8.4%	3	5.7	0.53×
★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	19.5%	$35.33 50.47 coins	1.0%	7	7.4	0.94×
★ Hydra Gloves \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Emerald)gloves · extraordinary · Emerald	20.0%	$31.50 45 coins	0.9%	6	7.6	0.79×

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.