Emissaries
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$14.87
21.25 coins
Advertised RTP
90.89%
EV $13.52 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.55%
445 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 449 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sous-Lieutenant Medic | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · exceptional$14.8721.25 coins$7.9511.36 coins0.53x
Sous-Lieutenant Medic | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · exceptional$14.8721.25 coins$7.9511.36 coins0.53x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.89%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $14.87 | 90.89% | 13 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $15.23 | 90.90% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedexceptional 30.0%red 18.0%superior 6.0%master 16.0%pink 30.0%best hit —