Four Seasons
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$20.69
29.55 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $18.80 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.56%
1,062 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,062 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$20.6929.55 coins$6.248.91 coins0.30x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$20.6929.55 coins$6.248.91 coins0.30x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedDankChocolates$20.6929.55 coins$6.248.91 coins0.30x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$20.6929.55 coins$6.248.91 coins0.30x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$20.6929.55 coins$5.948.49 coins0.29x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$20.6929.55 coins$37.2553.22 coins1.80x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$20.6929.55 coins$5.948.49 coins0.29x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$20.6929.55 coins$5.948.49 coins0.29x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $20.69 | 90.90% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $20.69 | 90.92% | 20 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $21.06 | 90.90% | 20 |
| 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $21.02 | 90.90% | 20 |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $20.95 | 90.91% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.97 | 90.90% | 20 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.7%restricted 48.2%rare 4.4%mil spec 7.1%classified 11.1%Legendary 8.9%uncommon 16.6%best hit —