Frankenstein
A case on CSGORoll (new), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$35.97
51.39 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $32.70 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.99%
4,564 openings, odds method
Variance
6.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,568 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$37.1153.02 coins$1,2481,783 coins33.63x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$37.1153.02 coins$1,2481,783 coins33.63x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$37.1153.02 coins$1,2481,783 coins33.63x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldLubetube$37.1153.02 coins$1,2481,783 coins33.63x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$37.1153.02 coins$1,2481,783 coins33.63x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$37.1153.02 coins$1,2481,783 coins33.63x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldJägermeistercsgoroll.com$37.1153.02 coins$1,2481,783 coins33.63x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$37.1153.02 coins$1,2481,783 coins33.63x
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$37.1153.02 coins$1,2481,783 coins33.63x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$35.9751.39 coins$8.7512.5 coins0.24x
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$35.9751.39 coins$8.2011.72 coins0.23x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$35.9751.39 coins$27.3239.03 coins0.76x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedBLVCK CRY$TAL$35.9751.39 coins$8.7512.5 coins0.24x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$35.9751.39 coins$8.8112.58 coins0.24x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$35.9751.39 coins$27.3239.03 coins0.76x
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$35.9751.39 coins$8.2011.72 coins0.23x
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedBLVCK CRY$TAL$35.9751.39 coins$185264 coins5.14x
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$35.9751.39 coins$8.2011.72 coins0.23x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$35.9751.39 coins$8.7512.5 coins0.24x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $35.97 | 90.91% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $36.90 | 90.92% | 18 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $37.11 | 90.91% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 14.3%covert 3.3%legendary 0.5%classified 9.8%rare 7.3%restricted 64.7%best hit $2,076 (55.92x)