Funk

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$32.12
45.88 coins
Advertised RTP
90.92%
EV $29.20 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.21%
468 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
41 openings · below min
7 days
90.21%±13.66448 openings
30 days
89.21%±13.36468 openings
since tracking started
89.21%±13.36468 openings
35.5%81.5%127.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4181.52%±45.5—odds
7d44890.21%±13.7−0.1σodds
30d46889.21%±13.4−0.3σodds
All46889.21%±13.4−0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 468 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 10,000$883 1,262 coins0.3%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 2,000$499 713 coins0.9%00.2—
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 21 in 333$394 563 coins4.0%01.40.00×
Sticker | Counter Logic Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2015sticker · remarkable1 in 333$215 307 coins2.2%21.41.42×
Sticker | RUBINO (Foil) | Atlanta 2017sticker · exotic1 in 125$200 285 coins5.5%33.70.80×
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 21 in 67$172 246 coins8.8%107.01.42×
UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,000$172 245 coins0.3%00.2—
★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · epic1 in 91$163 233 coins6.1%35.10.58×
★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 34$149 213 coins14.8%1713.61.25×
Galil AR | Aqua Terrace (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 200$131 187 coins2.2%22.30.85×
Sticker | Vox Eminor | Katowice 2015sticker · high1 in 22$69.95 99.93 coins10.8%2121.11.00×
AWP | Crakow! (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 204$61.91 88.44 coins1.0%22.30.87×
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 33$49.06 70.09 coins5.0%1814.01.28×
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 20$34.96 49.94 coins6.0%2023.40.85×
MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 22$30.58 43.69 coins4.7%1721.10.81×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 18$24.30 34.71 coins4.6%2025.70.78×
StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted15.0%$15.67 22.39 coins8.1%7970.21.13×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted15.0%$10.52 15.03 coins5.4%7070.21.00×
Sticker | Movistar Riders (Holo) | Stockholm 2021sticker · remarkable1 in 20$9.72 13.88 coins1.7%2523.41.07×
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec15.0%$7.83 11.19 coins4.0%6670.20.94×
StatTrak™ Music Kit | Lennie Moore, Java Havana Funkaloomusic kit · high19.5%$5.25 7.5 coins3.5%9391.31.02×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.92%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$32.1290.92%21
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$32.4190.91%21
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$32.3890.91%21
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 3.1%restricted 40.0%covert 9.7%remarkable 5.3%exotic 0.8%epic 1.1%mil spec 15.5%high 24.0%rare 0.5%best hit —