Price
$32.12
45.88 coins
Advertised RTP
90.92%
EV $29.20 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.21%
468 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 468 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ Music Kit | Lennie Moore, Java Havana Funkaloomusic kit · high$32.1245.88 coins$5.257.5 coins0.16x
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$32.1245.88 coins$7.8311.19 coins0.24x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$32.1245.88 coins$10.5215.03 coins0.33x
Sticker | Movistar Riders (Holo) | Stockholm 2021sticker · remarkable$32.1245.88 coins$9.7213.88 coins0.30x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$32.1245.88 coins$10.5215.03 coins0.33x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedLajjan$32.1245.88 coins$10.5215.03 coins0.33x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedVeckans$32.1245.88 coins$10.5215.03 coins0.33x
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$32.1245.88 coins$7.8311.19 coins0.24x
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · mil specsteffyow;D$32.1245.88 coins$7.8311.19 coins0.24x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $32.12 | 90.92% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $32.41 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $32.38 | 90.91% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 3.1%restricted 40.0%covert 9.7%remarkable 5.3%exotic 0.8%epic 1.1%mil spec 15.5%high 24.0%rare 0.5%best hit —