Furia
A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$21.59
30.84 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $19.62 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.30%
782 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 786 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · industrialRed$21.5930.84 coins$1.532.18 coins0.07x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $21.59 | 90.90% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $21.58 | 90.92% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $21.58 | 90.91% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 0.0%covert 16.7%industrial 21.3%extraordinary 9.0%mil spec 8.0%exotic 45.0%best hit —