G-Force

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$264.28

378 coins

Advertised RTP

90.91%

EV $240.26 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d

122.95%

82 openings, odds method

Variance

6.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

11.8%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

88.2%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

82 openings · below min

30 days

82 openings · below min

since tracking started

82 openings · below min

67.0%123.0%179.0%

Small sample. 82 openings and 9.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	82	122.95%±55.4	—	odds
30d	82	122.95%±55.4	—	odds
All	82	122.95%±55.4	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 82 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,000	$10.7K 15,300 coins	0.9%	0	0.0	—
AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$10.6K 15,130 coins	0.4%	0	0.0	—
★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl	1 in 286	$8,057 11,510 coins	11.7%	1	0.3	—
AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 667	$6,787 9,695 coins	4.2%	0	0.1	—
★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald	1 in 2,500	$6,335 9,050 coins	1.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl	1 in 77	$2,755 3,935 coins	14.9%	1	1.1	0.94×
★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Factory New)gloves · legendary	1 in 154	$1,724 2,463 coins	4.7%	1	0.5	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3	1 in 100	$1,546 2,209 coins	6.4%	1	0.8	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 43	$473 676 coins	4.5%	5	1.9	2.65×
AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 17	$445 636 coins	11.1%	7	4.9	1.42×
★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 22	$258 369 coins	4.8%	3	3.7	0.81×
★ Moto Gloves \| 3rd Commando Company (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 65	$204 292 coins	1.3%	1	1.3	0.79×
★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 15	$161 230 coins	4.4%	7	5.4	1.29×
AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	32.5%	$118 169 coins	16.0%	21	26.7	0.79×
★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 14	$113 161 coins	3.3%	5	5.7	0.87×
★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	14.0%	$82.60 118 coins	4.8%	13	11.5	1.13×
★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	22.0%	$57.81 82.58 coins	5.3%	16	18.0	0.89×

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.