Generator

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$172.98
247 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
100.75%
194 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
150 openings · below min
30 days
194 openings · below min
since tracking started
194 openings · below min
75.0%108.7%142.5%

Small sample. 194 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d150111.00%±31.1—sample
30d194100.75%±24.9—sample
All194100.75%±24.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSGORoll publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$170242 coins$1,5282,183 coins9.01x
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert$170242 coins$1,1151,593 coins6.58x
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert$170242 coins$1,1151,593 coins6.58x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$173247 coins$1,0831,547 coins6.26x
★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$170242 coins$1,0581,512 coins6.24x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · Immortal$170242 coins$48.2768.96 coins0.28x
MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New)weapon · restricted$170242 coins$7.9211.31 coins0.05x
MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New)weapon · restricted$170242 coins$7.9211.31 coins0.05x
★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · Immortal$170242 coins$48.2768.96 coins0.28x
★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$170242 coins$9351,336 coins5.51x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,528 (9.01x)