Get Slept
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$20.02
28.6 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $18.20 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.14%
1,294 openings, odds method
Variance
2.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,294 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · goldBRÄTT <3$20.0228.6 coins$52.9575.64 coins2.64x
★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · goldRusty Cake$20.0228.6 coins$52.9575.64 coins2.64x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $20.02 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $19.68 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $19.71 | 90.92% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.8%extraordinary 0.1%classified 17.0%restricted 27.0%gold 2.5%consumer 33.0%Rare 19.7%best hit $768 (38.36x)