Glass
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$16.70
23.85 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $15.18 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.13%
1,823 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,823 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Glock-18 | Off World (Factory New)weapon · mil specUnfairScroll27$16.7023.85 coins$6.719.58 coins0.40x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified$16.7023.85 coins$5.708.14 coins0.34x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $16.70 | 90.90% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $16.66 | 90.92% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.70 | 90.90% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 16.0%covert 11.5%classified 5.3%mil spec 57.2%Classified 10.0%best hit —