Glove Mayhem
A case on CSGORoll (gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.66
0.95 coins
Advertised RTP
91.28%
EV $0.61 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.37%
61.7K openings, odds method
Variance
382.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 263
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 61.9K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 10,000 | $1,100 1,572 coins | 18.1% | 4 | 6.2 | 0.65× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Boom! (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,429 | $155 221 coins | 17.8% | 46 | 43.3 | 1.06× |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 333 | $103 147 coins | 50.9% | 182 | 185.7 | 0.98× |
| AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 49.6% | $0.14 0.2 coins | 11.4% | 30,780 | 30709.3 | 1.00× |
| PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 50.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 1.7% | 30,877 | 30944.5 | 1.00× |
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$0.690.99 coins$1,1311,616 coins1,632x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$0.660.95 coins$1,1001,572 coins1,655x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$0.660.95 coins$1,1001,572 coins1,655x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$0.660.95 coins$1,1001,572 coins1,655x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.28%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $0.66 | 91.28% | 5 |
| 9 Nov, 02:02 UTC | $0.67 | 90.85% | 5 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $0.67 | 91.36% | 5 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.69 | 91.00% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.4%industrial 99.6%best hit $1,131 (1,632x)