Gloves Only

A case on CSGORoll (gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$218.50
312 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $198.63 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
115.36%
44 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
44 openings · below min
30 days
44 openings · below min
since tracking started
44 openings · below min
76.5%115.3%154.0%

Small sample. 44 openings and 8.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d44115.36%±38.2—odds
30d44115.36%±38.2—odds
All44115.36%±38.2—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$21890.91%10
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$21990.91%10
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$21690.91%10
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 100.0%best hit $2,384 (11.05x)