Price
$218.50
312 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $198.63 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
115.36%
44 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 44 openings and 8.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinaryLuxi$216308 coins$2,3843,405 coins11.05x
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$216308 coins$7451,064 coins3.45x
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$216308 coins$7451,064 coins3.45x
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$216308 coins$7451,064 coins3.45x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$218312 coins$26.3637.66 coins0.12x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$218312 coins$26.3637.66 coins0.12x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$218312 coins$26.3637.66 coins0.12x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryVuitton$218312 coins$26.3637.66 coins0.12x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$218312 coins$26.3637.66 coins0.12x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$218312 coins$26.3637.66 coins0.12x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $218 | 90.91% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $219 | 90.91% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $216 | 90.91% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 100.0%best hit $2,384 (11.05x)