Godlike
A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$48.21
68.87 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $43.82 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.81%
157 openings, odds method
Variance
2.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 157 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New)weapon · Mil SpecTiny Tim.CsgoRoll.com$48.2168.87 coins$4.216.01 coins0.09x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $48.21 | 90.90% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $47.70 | 90.91% | 18 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $48.53 | 90.91% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%covert 18.0%classified 15.0%restricted 2.1%mil spec 16.0%industrial 19.0%Mil Spec 15.0%consumer 14.9%best hit —