Goth
A case on CSGORoll (70%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$112.39
161 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $102.18 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.53%
114 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
40.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 114 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert$112161 coins$145207 coins1.29x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert🟢Kick: Activ3C0ma$112161 coins$145207 coins1.29x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $112 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $112 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $115 | 90.91% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 10.2%covert 37.1%epic 0.7%classified 8.0%restricted 4.0%remarkable 40.0%best hit —