Grannys Clutch
A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$9.72
13.89 coins
Advertised RTP
90.90%
EV $8.84 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.98%
26K openings, odds method
Variance
20.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Chef d'Escadron Rouchard | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · masterThaiRice$9.7213.89 coins$15.5822.26 coins1.60x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $9.72 | 90.90% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $9.72 | 90.88% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $9.76 | 90.93% | 13 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.76 | 90.92% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbase 8.7%covert 1.3%superior 6.0%extraordinary 2.0%master 2.0%high 45.0%remarkable 35.0%best hit $621 (63.83x)