gambatracker
Live
Big wins
Keno$1,0005.00xShining Crown$3,84496.00xMines$186138.7xMines$186138.7xMines$1,8919.44xBlackjack$13.8K2.50xTowers$305238.1xMines$186138.7xBlackjack$11K2.00xSweet Bonanza 1000$80.97108.0xSoaked By Seamen$1,0131.69xWukong's Wrath$1,1939.94xKorean Speed Baccarat G$3,8052.00xMines$2,5876.46xMoney Coming 30000$1,03110.30xKeno$1,0005.00xSoaked By Seamen$1,0851.81xSweet Bonanza$591295.4xSpanish Roulette$1,5011.50xBook of Time$167149.1xDragon Hatch 2$1,47017.80xThe Dog House$1,3629.50xPlatinum Privé Blackjack 2$2,0021.43xLimbo$118144.0x

Gravedigger

A case on CSGORoll (15%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$9.81
14.01 coins
Advertised RTP
90.94%
EV $8.92 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.39%
28.5K openings, odds method
Variance
33.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 81
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
84.24%±18.033,900 openings
7 days
87.41%±7.2724.3K openings
30 days
87.39%±6.7328.5K openings
since tracking started
87.39%±6.7328.5K openings
65.5%84.3%103.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3,90084.24%±18.0−0.7σodds
7d24.3K87.41%±7.27−0.9σodds
30d28.5K87.39%±6.73−1.0σodds
All28.5K87.39%±6.73−1.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · legendary · Black Pearl1 in 5,000$2,198 3,140 coins4.9%45.70.70×
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Ruby1 in 10,000$2,076 2,965 coins2.3%32.91.05×
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · legendary · Sapphire1 in 5,000$1,123 1,604 coins2.5%55.70.88×
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 3,333$1,033 1,475 coins3.5%58.60.58×
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 1,667$502 717 coins3.4%1617.10.94×
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · legendary1 in 400$436 623 coins12.2%6771.30.94×
SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,000$309 442 coins3.5%2928.51.02×
AUG | Midnight Lily (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 400$307 438 coins8.6%6871.30.95×
Souvenir P250 | Apep's Curse (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · classified1 in 200$166 237 coins9.3%157142.51.10×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 200$118 169 coins6.6%138142.50.97×
StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 100$73.50 105 coins8.2%268285.10.94×
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 44$36.23 51.76 coins9.2%641644.21.00×
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 100$26.91 38.44 coins3.0%302285.11.06×
MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 33$20.20 28.86 coins6.8%831855.10.97×
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 67$19.94 28.48 coins3.4%456427.61.07×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Curse (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 33$18.72 26.75 coins6.3%865855.11.01×
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 100$11.20 16 coins1.3%276285.10.97×
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · consumer1 in 200$2.51 3.58 coins0.1%144142.51.01×
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted42.5%$0.52 0.75 coins2.5%12,14412114.61.00×
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted42.5%$0.50 0.71 coins2.4%12,08612114.61.00×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · legendary · Black Pearl$10.0514.35 coins$2,3313,330 coins232.1x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · legendary · Black Pearl$10.0514.35 coins$2,3313,330 coins232.1x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · legendary · Black Pearl$10.0514.35 coins$2,3313,330 coins232.1x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · legendary · Black Pearl$9.8114.01 coins$2,1983,140 coins224.1x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Ruby$9.8114.01 coins$2,0762,965 coins211.6x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Ruby$10.0514.35 coins$2,0092,870 coins200.0x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Ruby$10.0514.35 coins$2,0092,870 coins200.0x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · legendary · SapphireHyper$10.0514.35 coins$1,1671,667 coins116.2x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · legendary · Sapphire$10.0514.35 coins$1,1671,667 coins116.2x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · legendary · Sapphire$9.8114.01 coins$1,1231,604 coins114.5x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$9.8114.01 coins$73.50105 coins7.49x
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$9.8114.01 coins$0.520.75 coins0.05x
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$9.8114.01 coins$0.500.71 coins0.05x
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$9.8114.01 coins$0.500.71 coins0.05x
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedpepezki96$9.8114.01 coins$0.500.71 coins0.05x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Curse (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$9.8114.01 coins$18.7226.75 coins1.91x
MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$9.8114.01 coins$20.2028.86 coins2.06x
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$9.8114.01 coins$0.500.71 coins0.05x
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$9.8114.01 coins$0.500.71 coins0.05x
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$9.8114.01 coins$0.500.71 coins0.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.94%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
9 Nov, 01:53 UTC$9.8190.94%20
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$9.8090.88%20
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$9.7990.88%20
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$10.0590.90%20
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.4%classified 2.6%restricted 88.8%mil spec 2.3%blue 3.0%industrial 1.5%Mythical 1.0%consumer 0.5%best hit $2,331 (232.1x)