Price
$76.52
109 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $69.57 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.69%
1,836 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,836 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$76.52109 coins$592846 coins7.74x
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$76.52109 coins$592846 coins7.74x
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$76.52109 coins$592846 coins7.74x
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epicdr cheryll erwin$77.20110 coins$592846 coins7.67x
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epicm1chi$77.20110 coins$592846 coins7.67x
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$77.20110 coins$592846 coins7.67x
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$77.20110 coins$592846 coins7.67x
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epicm1chi$77.20110 coins$592846 coins7.67x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic$76.52109 coins$592846 coins7.74x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $76.52 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $75.64 | 90.91% | 16 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $77.20 | 90.91% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 13.4%classified 43.0%epic 0.5%restricted 23.1%mil spec 20.0%best hit $1,977 (25.62x)