Greek God

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$76.52
109 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $69.57 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.69%
1,836 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
68 openings · below min
7 days
91.69%±9.78995 openings
30 days
90.69%±7.281,836 openings
since tracking started
90.69%±7.281,836 openings
20.0%61.0%102.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6858.01%±37.1—odds
7d99591.69%±9.78+0.2σodds
30d1,83690.69%±7.28−0.1σodds
All1,83690.69%±7.28−0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,836 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary1 in 10,000$2,982 4,260 coins0.4%00.2—
AWP | Medusa (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 2,000$1,697 2,424 coins1.2%10.9—
M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,000$1,241 1,773 coins0.9%10.9—
StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · epic1 in 200$592 846 coins4.3%129.21.31×
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 143$568 812 coins5.7%1512.91.17×
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 71$377 539 coins7.6%1925.70.74×
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 11$286 409 coins37.0%164165.20.99×
★ Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 91$200 285 coins3.2%1820.20.89×
★ Flip Knife | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 40$143 204 coins5.1%4045.90.87×
Galil AR | Cerberus (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 17$121 173 coins10.4%119110.21.08×
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 17$90.30 129 coins7.8%114110.21.03×
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 13$50.61 72.3 coins5.8%154146.91.05×
Galil AR | Cerberus (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted15.7%$22.94 32.77 coins5.2%279288.10.97×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified12.0%$17.72 25.31 coins3.1%210220.30.95×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)weapon · classified17.0%$4.56 6.52 coins1.1%331312.11.06×
G3SG1 | Demeter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec20.0%$4.05 5.79 coins1.2%359367.20.98×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

G3SG1 | Demeter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$76.52109 coins$4.055.79 coins0.05x
G3SG1 | Demeter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$76.52109 coins$4.055.79 coins0.05x
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)weapon · classified$76.52109 coins$50.6172.3 coins0.66x
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$76.52109 coins$17.7225.31 coins0.23x
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$76.52109 coins$17.7225.31 coins0.23x
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$76.52109 coins$4.566.52 coins0.06x
Galil AR | Cerberus (Factory New)weapon · restricted$76.52109 coins$121173 coins1.58x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$76.5290.91%16
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$75.6490.91%16
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$77.2090.91%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.0%covert 13.4%classified 43.0%epic 0.5%restricted 23.1%mil spec 20.0%best hit $1,977 (25.62x)