Handsome

A case on CSGORoll (40%, gloves), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$31.38
44.83 coins
Advertised RTP
90.92%
EV $28.53 from 26 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.14%
2,566 openings, odds method
Variance
7.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
80.73%±46.80129 openings
7 days
94.77%±11.102,245 openings
30 days
94.14%±10.382,566 openings
since tracking started
94.14%±10.382,566 openings
33.5%80.8%128.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h12980.73%±46.8−0.4σodds
7d2,24594.77%±11.1+0.7σodds
30d2,56694.14%±10.4+0.6σodds
All2,56694.14%±10.4+0.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,566 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 100,000$4,918 7,025 coins0.2%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 100,000$4,774 6,820 coins0.2%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 33,333$1,716 2,451 coins0.2%00.1—
★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 33,333$1,644 2,349 coins0.2%00.1—
★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 33,333$1,635 2,335 coins0.2%00.1—
★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 25,000$1,591 2,273 coins0.2%00.1—
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 16,667$1,401 2,001 coins0.3%00.2—
★ Driver Gloves | Garden (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 10,000$1,397 1,995 coins0.5%30.3—
★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 5,000$1,364 1,948 coins1.0%10.5—
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 5,000$1,352 1,932 coins0.9%10.5—
★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 3,333$1,343 1,919 coins1.4%00.8—
★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 3,333$1,335 1,907 coins1.4%00.8—
★ Sport Gloves | Frosty (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 2,500$1,109 1,584 coins1.6%11.00.97×
★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 2,000$955 1,364 coins1.7%01.30.00×
★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 2,000$903 1,290 coins1.6%11.30.78×
★ Sport Gloves | Blaze (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 2,000$875 1,250 coins1.5%21.31.56×
★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 1,000$859 1,227 coins3.0%32.61.17×
★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 1,000$764 1,091 coins2.7%62.62.34×
★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill (Factory New)gloves · legendary1 in 1,000$584 834 coins2.0%52.61.95×
★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendary1 in 500$468 668 coins3.3%45.10.78×
★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendary1 in 250$244 349 coins3.4%1410.31.36×
★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe (Minimal Wear)gloves · epic1 in 200$152 217 coins2.7%1012.80.78×
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 12$59.68 85.26 coins17.3%195212.40.92×
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary15.0%$49.33 70.47 coins25.9%370384.90.96×
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary15.0%$41.18 58.83 coins21.7%370384.90.96×
Easy Peasy Pinpin · remarkable60.0%$2.41 3.44 coins5.1%1,5801539.61.03×
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Factory New)gloves · legendary$31.8645.51 coins$1,3641,948 coins42.80x
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Factory New)gloves · legendary$31.8645.51 coins$1,3571,938 coins42.58x
★ Driver Gloves | Garden (Factory New)gloves · legendary$31.8645.51 coins$1,1171,596 coins35.07x
★ Driver Gloves | Garden (Factory New)gloves · legendary$31.8645.51 coins$1,1171,596 coins35.07x
★ Driver Gloves | Garden (Factory New)gloves · legendary$31.8645.51 coins$1,1171,596 coins35.07x
★ Sport Gloves | Frosty (Factory New)gloves · legendary$31.8645.51 coins$1,1171,596 coins35.07x
★ Sport Gloves | Blaze (Factory New)gloves · legendary$31.8645.51 coins$1,0031,433 coins31.49x
★ Sport Gloves | Blaze (Factory New)gloves · legendary$31.8645.51 coins$1,0031,433 coins31.49x
★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Factory New)gloves · legendary$31.8645.51 coins$8601,229 coins27.01x

Latest dropsnewest first

Easy Peasy Pinpin · remarkable3GO$31.3844.83 coins$2.413.44 coins0.08x
Easy Peasy Pinpin · remarkable$31.3844.83 coins$2.413.44 coins0.08x
Easy Peasy Pinpin · remarkable$31.3844.83 coins$2.413.44 coins0.08x
Easy Peasy Pinpin · remarkableVeckans$31.3844.83 coins$2.413.44 coins0.08x
Easy Peasy Pinpin · remarkable$31.3844.83 coins$2.413.44 coins0.08x
Easy Peasy Pinpin · remarkable$31.3844.83 coins$2.413.44 coins0.08x
Easy Peasy Pinpin · remarkable$31.3844.83 coins$2.413.44 coins0.08x
Easy Peasy Pinpin · remarkable$31.3844.83 coins$2.413.44 coins0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.92%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
8 Nov, 23:33 UTC$31.3890.92%26
8 Nov, 17:30 UTC$31.7990.91%26
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$31.8690.90%26
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 1.2%epic 0.5%extraordinary 38.3%remarkable 60.0%best hit $1,364 (42.80x)