Price
$91.57
131 coins
Advertised RTP
90.91%
EV $83.25 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
51.57%
12 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
39.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 12 openings and 4.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$93.47134 coins$28.4140.59 coins0.30x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$93.47134 coins$28.4140.59 coins0.30x
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$93.47134 coins$47.7168.15 coins0.51x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$93.47134 coins$28.4140.59 coins0.30x
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryEdu-Bruh$93.47134 coins$28.4140.59 coins0.30x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $91.57 | 90.91% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $91.94 | 90.91% | 23 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $93.47 | 90.91% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.1%extraordinary 70.9%legendary 0.1%rare 0.7%base 28.3%best hit —